01 / The challenge
Start with the real problem.
Shipment ETAs were calculated from a flat distance-and-speed formula that ignored real-world variables like traffic and weather delays.
Logistics / 2025
I built a delivery package ETA prediction model to give customers more accurate delivery windows.
A project by Aryan Pathak · The Neural Guy
01 / The challenge
Shipment ETAs were calculated from a flat distance-and-speed formula that ignored real-world variables like traffic and weather delays.
02 / The solution
I built a prediction model incorporating route history, weather, and customs data to generate dynamic, continuously-updating ETAs. Rather than a full platform rebuild, the fix was scoped tightly around Freight & Logistics's actual bottleneck, which kept both timeline and cost down.
Kicked off with a series of short conversations with the Freight & Logistics team to understand the workflow the new system would actually need to fit into.
The first working version for Freight & Logistics came together quickly using Python, which left more time for testing edge cases in their data.
Ran the first version alongside Freight & Logistics's existing process for a few weeks rather than replacing it outright, to build confidence before full cutover.
Set up basic monitoring so Freight & Logistics's team would know quickly if performance started drifting, rather than finding out from a downstream complaint.
03 / The results
A similar challenge?
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